The Irony of ‘Economic Miracle’: Spotlight on Past Futures in Ghana 1982–1992

Application summary

This doctoral thesis investigates and deepens the political history of Ghana’s ‘economic miracle’ in the 1980s using a new conceptual framework termed "past futures". The concept of 'past futures' proceeds from the assumption that every future has a history, which is a written account in the present, based on bits and traces inherited from the past. In specificity, this project deconstructs the period, 1982–1992 into two distinct past futures. The first past future consists of the political future vision of the nation between 1982 and 1983. This period in the nation’s history is dominated by "revolutionary" rhetoric in governance under the regime of Jerry Rawlings. The second past future consists of the nation’s political future vision between 1983 and 1992. This period is dominated by the implementation of the IMF and World Bank sponsored structural adjustment programmes and policies in Ghana. The goal behind deepening the historical analysis of these events is to investigate connections and disconnections in policy as these political visions culminated in past futures. Finally, the thesis demonstrates the potency of applying futures research methodologies to historical research. The thesis applies Causal Layered Analysis (CLA), a futures research method to conduct research in history. By investigating past futures, futurists and historians can create alternative pasts and further radical alternative futures for the world.

My project investigates the December 31st Revolution in Ghana which occured from 1982 to 1992 using a novel anticipatory framework which I termed the Past Futures Framework (PFF). The framework builds on my conceptualization of the term past futures which I defined as final states of the future deposited in the past which previously existed in the state of anticipation in the present. I utilized this concept to explore the December 31st Revolution as it culminated into two past futures. The first past future which I temporalized between 1982 and March 1983 featured the proliferation of an anti-imperialist, anticolonialist populism as a revolutionary ideology to guide the evolution of a a new kind of society in Ghana. The second past future characterized a shift from an initial anti-imperialist populism as a revolutionary ideology towards neoliberal economism. The socioeconomic and political constituents of these past futures influenced the agency, networks and political climates through which the revolution evolved over time. My project attempted to investigate the trajectory in the evolution of these past futures from their initial future states as anticipation in the present.